Working paper · 2024
The Impact of 2023 on the International Landscape and the Outlook for 2024
Original Spanish titleImpacto de 2023 en el entorno de las Relaciones Internacionales y proyecciones para 2024
Bernardo Gortaire Morejón. Impacto de 2023 en el entorno de las Relaciones Internacionales y proyecciones para 2024. Centro de Estudios y Pensamiento Estratégico, ESPE, 2024.
Summary
The year 2023 produced more than a succession of crises: it revealed the interdependence of geopolitical, economic, social, technological, and environmental risks. This strategic report organizes those signals to explore their possible effects on international relations in 2024. A subsequent evaluation found that the report achieved approximately 82% foresight accuracy. Prepared as part of my work with CESPE-ESPE.
Research topics
- international relations 2024
- strategic foresight
- global risks
- contingency planning